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Individual Index Results
Though the system was developed across seven indices, only three
are considered tradeable: the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Russell
2000. The others have liquidity problems, or performance isn't as good
as the three selected.
Full-Size S&P 500. Using a slippage/commission figure of $300 for
full-size S&P trades, the following figure shows the equity curve that
would have occurred if a one-lot full-size S&P contract was traded at
each signal.
The following performance summary was attained for the S&P from 1996.
I-Master, Full-Size S&P, Jan 1996 - Aug 2002
| All Trades |
| Net Profit: | $644,548 |
| Gross Profit: | $1,509,336 | Gross Loss: | $864,789 |
| Number Trades: | 504 | Percent Profit: | 55.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 279 | Losing Trades: | 225 |
| Largest Win: | $35,937 | Largest Loss: | $26,263 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $5,409 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $3,844 |
| AW/AL: | 1.41 | Average Trade: | $1,278 |
| Max Con. Win. | 7 | Max Con. Los.: | 6 |
Max Closed Trade Drawdown | $50,200 | Profit Factor: | 1.75 |
| Long Trades |
| Net Profit: | $329,836 |
| Gross Profit: | $749,162 | Gross Loss: | $419,326 |
| Number Trades: | 250 | Percent Profit: | 56.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 142 | Losing Trades: | 108 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $5,275 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $3,883 |
| Average Trade: | $1,319 | Profit Factor: | 1.79 |
| Short Trades |
| Net Profit: | $314,711 |
| Gross Profit: | $760,174 | Gross Loss: | $445,463 |
| Number Trades: | 254 | Percent Profit: | 53.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 137 | Losing Trades: | 117 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $5,548 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $3,808 |
| Average Trade: | $1,239 | Profit Factor: | 1.71 |
The system is very profitable on the full-size contract, netting
$644,548. Of particular note is the balance between long and short
trades. Despite the relentless uptrend of the S&P over this
timeframe, short-side profits are almost half of long profits.
FULL-SIZE NASDAQ. Using a slippage/commission figure of $300 for
full-size NASDAQ trades, the following figure shows the equity curve
that would have occurred if a one-lot full-size NASDAQ contract was
traded at each signal.
The following performance summary was attained for the NASDAQ
from 1996.
I-Master, Full-Size NASDAQ, Jan 1996 - Aug 2002
| All Trades |
| Net Profit: | $1,086,279 |
| Gross Profit: | $2,043,074 | Gross Loss: | $956,796 |
| Number Trades: | 509 | Percent Profit: | 57.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 293 | Losing Trades: | 216 |
| Largest Win: | $81,065 | Largest Loss: | $44,390 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $6,972 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $4,430 |
| AW/AL: | 1.58 | Average Trade: | $2,134 |
| Max Con. Win. | 10 | Max Con. Los.: | 6 |
Max Closed Trade Drawdown | $54,234 | Profit Factor: | 2.14 |
| Long Trades |
| Net Profit: | $493,309 |
| Gross Profit: | $988,484 | Gross Loss: | $495,175 |
| Number Trades: | 252 | Percent Profit: | 59.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 150 | Losing Trades: | 102 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $6,589 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $4,855 |
| Average Trade: | $1,957 | Profit Factor: | 2.00 |
| Short Trades |
| Net Profit: | $592,969 |
| Gross Profit: | $1,054,589 | Gross Loss: | $461,621 |
| Number Trades: | 257 | Percent Profit: | 55.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 143 | Losing Trades: | 114 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $7,374 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $4,050 |
| Average Trade: | $2,307 | Profit Factor: | 2.29 |
The system is very profitable on the full-size NASDAQ contract,
netting almost one million dollars. In the case of the NASDAQ,
there is good balance between the long and short sides, with
short-side profits actually greater than those on the long side.
Russell 2000. Using a slippage/
commission figure of $300 for Russell 2000 trades, the following
figure shows the equity curve that would have occurred if a one-lot
Russell 2000 contract was traded at each signal.
The following performance summary was attained for the Russell
2000 from 1996.
I-Master, Russell 2000, Jan 1996 - Aug 2002
| All Trades |
| Net Profit: | $500,450 |
| Gross Profit: | $1,153,500 | Gross Loss: | $547,625 |
| Number Trades: | 484 | Percent Profit: | 59.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 289 | Losing Trades: | 195 |
| Largest Win: | $46,925 | Largest Loss: | $24,425 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $3,991 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $3,349 |
| AW/AL: | 1.20 | Average Trade: | $1,033 |
| Max Con. Win. | 8 | Max Con. Los.: | 8 |
| Max Closed Trade | $41,674 | Profit Factor: | 1.77 |
| Long Trades |
| Net Profit: | $222,100 |
| Gross Profit: | $593,850 | Gross Loss: | $371,750 |
| Number Trades: | 243 | Percent Profit: | 63.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 154 | Losing Trades: | 89 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $3,856 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $4,177 |
| Average Trade: | $913 | Profit Factor: | 1.60 |
| Short Trades |
| Net Profit: | $278,350 |
| Gross Profit: | $559,650 | Gross Loss: | $281,301 |
| Number Trades: | 241 | Percent Profit: | 56.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 135 | Losing Trades: | 106 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $4,145 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $2,654 |
| Average Trade: | $1,154 | Profit Factor: | 1.99 |
Again, the system is very profitable, netting $500,450, and the profit
is evenly distributed between the long and short sides.
FULL-SIZE S&P MIDCAP. Using a slippage/commission
figure of $300 for S&P Midcap trades, the following figure shows the equity curve
that would have occurred if a one-lot Midcap contract was traded at each signal.
The following performance summary was attained for the S&P Midcap from 1996.
I-Master, S&P Midcap, Jan 1996 - Aug 2002
| All Trades |
| Net Profit: | $473,574 |
| Gross Profit: | $1,023,074 | Gross Loss: | $549,501 |
| Number Trades: | 509 | Percent Profit: | 58.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 297 | Losing Trades: | 212 |
| Largest Win: | $23,875 | Largest Loss: | $25,251 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $3,444 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $2,592 |
| AW/AL: | 1.33 | Average Trade: | $930 |
| Max Con. Win. | 11 | Max Con. Los.: | 7 |
| Max Closed Trade | $66,600 | Profit Factor: | 1.87 |
| Long Trades |
| Net Profit: | $241,999 |
| Gross Profit: | $500,199 | Gross Loss: | $258,201 |
| Number Trades: | 250 | Percent Profit: | 63.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 158 | Losing Trades: | 92 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $3,165 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $2,807 |
| Average Trade: | $967 | Profit Factor: | 1.94 |
| Short Trades |
| Net Profit: | $231,574 |
| Gross Profit: | $522,874 | Gross Loss: | $291,300 |
| Number Trades: | 259 | Percent Profit: | 53.0 |
| Winning Trades: | 139 | Losing Trades: | 120 |
| Avg. Win (AW): | $3,761 | Avg. Loss (AL): | $2,428 |
| Average Trade: | $894 | Profit Factor: | 1.80 |
Again, the system is very profitable, netting $473,574, and the profit is fairly
distributed between the long and short sides.
Hypothetical Disclaimer
All performance figures in this marketing piece are based on
hypothetical trades. CSI's continuous, backadjusted contracts were
used. For each full-size contract trade, $300 was deducted for
slippage and commission, while $60 was deducted from each E-Mini
trade. The figures also account for the S&P contact change
that occurred in September 1997. Full-size trades before that
date use a dollar per point value of $500, while later trades use
$250 dollars per point. Additionally, for the data reflecting
E-Mini trading with Aberration and Aztec portfolios, the E-Mini
was simulated prior to September 1997 by using full-size data and
a dollar per point value of one-fifth the value of the full-size
contract. The CFTC notice concerning hypothetical performance
should be noted:
NOTICE: "HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS
HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED
BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL
OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE
SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS
SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE
OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT
THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN
ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK,
AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR
THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE,
THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR
TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS
WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE
ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR
TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH
CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL
TRADING RESULTS."
I-Master Characteristics
I-Master has a number of characteristics that set it apart from
other index systems:
- It was developed over seven indices to yield a large
sample size of trades. This minimizes curve-fitting.
- The system enters on stops, but a realistic slippage/
commission figure of $300 for full-size contract trades has
been deducted. The reason most S&P systems fail in
real time is due to unrealistic slippage/commission
estimates. A figure of $100 is routinely used, even
in Futures Truth reporting. That figure is much lower than
will be achieved in actual trading. Most highly rated
S&P systems actually lose money in real-time due to
this fact.
- Long and short trade performance is balanced. Most
index systems are highly biased to the long side due to
the sustained uptrend of the S&P in the 1980s and
1990s. I-Master is evenly balanced between long-
and short-side profits.
- An important feature of this system is the ability
to trade E-Mini contracts in the S&P and NASDAQ.
Many traders' account size will not allow the trading
of a full-size contract with this system because of the
drawdown potential. But the system makes enough
profit-per-trade to make the trading of an E-Mini
S&P a viable option.
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